Address to Summit 2022 and Leadership Conference,
Seoul, Korea, August 11-15, 2022

 

The following outline is the PowerPoint presentation given by Dr. Keun-Sik Kim. Contact the IAAP International (International Association of Academicians for Peace) for further discussion or questions about the lecture.

Northeast Asian Order and Peaceful Unification of the Korean Peninsula: Situations and Strategies

Contents

  1. The New Cold War Era and the Need to Recognize Strategic Situations
  2. Change of Situation in Northeast Asia: New Cold War and U.S.-China Relations
  3. Changes in North Korea’s Strategy
  4. Situation Changes and the Need to Change Our Strategy
  5. Development of History
  1. The New Cold War Era and the Need to Recognize Strategic Situations

■ The Importance of Strategy: Leader’s Virtue

- Lee Seung Man’s Foundation, Moon Sun Myung’s meeting with Gorbachev and Kim Il-sung, and

  Kim Dae-jung’s Inter-Korean Summit

■ The Situation in Northeast Asia during the New Cold War and the Need for a Strategy on the Unification

    of the Korean Peninsula

- U.S.-China strategic supremacy competition

- North Korea’s strategic change

- The conditions and conditions of reunification on the Korean Peninsula

  1. Change of Situation in Northeast Asia: New Cold War and U.S.-China Relations

■ Power Transition Theory and U.S.-China Relations

- Orders of Northeast Asia and U.S.-China Relations: Post-Cold War and New Cold War

- Prospects of Northeast Asia: Pessimism and Optimism

- The Power Transition Theory and the Trap of Thukydides

■ China’s Diplomatic Strategy

- Hide Your Strength and Bide Your Time (韜光養晦), Peaceful rising (和平崛起), Drive Position (主動作爲)

- New type of great power relations (新形大國關係)

■ U.S. Strategy Toward China

- Pivot to Asia

- Rebalancing

■ U.S.-China Hegemonic Competition and Order of Northeast Asia

- Conflict between East China Sea and South China Sea

- Belt and Road Initiative and the Indo-Pacific Strategy

- Global Supply Chain and Standard war in the Fourth Industrial Revolution

- Competition between U.S.-China without retreat

  1. Changes in North Korea’s Strategy

■ Changes in strategy for the United States: The dependence on the U.S. for security →

    An optional parallel strategy that combines its dependence on security between the U.S and China

■ Changes in strategy for South Korea: The economic dependence on South Korea →

    Two Koreas policy

■ Changes in Nuclear Strategy: Kim Jong-un abandoned Denuclearization

  1. Situation Changes and the Need to Change Our Strategy

■ The Interaction between Objective Situation Change and Subjective Strategy Change

■ The need to change the paradigm of policies related to North Korea and unification strategies

- Absorption-based unification as the essence of unification (co-righteousness)

- Unification as a peaceful process (co-living)

- Peaceful reunification of the Korean Peninsula as the core of peace and prosperity

  in Northeast Asia (co-prosperity)

- U.S.-China Strategic Competition and Change of North Korea: End of Tunnel?

  1. Development of History

- Facing realistic changes of the objective situation

- Overcoming the mechanical restoration and the wishful thinking trapped

  in caves in the past

- Recognizing objective situations and preparing for independent responses

  drive the development of history

 

 


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